Pre-tourney Rankings
West Virginia
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#37
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#52
Pace66.7#190
Improvement-2.1#246

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#33
Improvement-0.7#199

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#65
Improvement-1.4#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.2% n/a n/a
First Round86.9% n/a n/a
Second Round39.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen11.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.3% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 87   Oral Roberts W 78-71 78%     1 - 0 +9.3 -2.6 +11.4
  Nov 15, 2011 116   Kent St. L 60-70 83%     1 - 1 -9.8 -12.5 +2.5
  Nov 17, 2011 335   Alcorn St. W 97-62 99%     2 - 1 +16.9 +4.3 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2011 203   Morehead St. W 83-48 87%     3 - 1 +33.0 +10.8 +22.7
  Nov 28, 2011 73   Akron W 77-56 75%     4 - 1 +24.4 -0.3 +23.0
  Dec 03, 2011 70   @ Mississippi St. L 62-75 50%     4 - 2 -2.7 -5.9 +2.6
  Dec 08, 2011 21   Kansas St. W 85-80 2OT 40%     5 - 2 +17.9 +4.3 +12.7
  Dec 10, 2011 41   Miami (FL) W 77-66 66%     6 - 2 +17.0 +13.3 +4.8
  Dec 17, 2011 306   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 84-64 98%     7 - 2 +6.7 +3.4 +2.2
  Dec 19, 2011 180   Tennessee Tech W 72-53 91%     8 - 2 +14.8 -2.6 +17.9
  Dec 22, 2011 97   Missouri St. W 70-68 OT 70%     9 - 2 +7.0 +1.3 +5.7
  Dec 23, 2011 11   Baylor L 81-83 OT 34%     9 - 3 +12.8 +10.0 +2.8
  Dec 28, 2011 83   Villanova W 83-69 77%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +16.5 +12.5 +4.3
  Dec 30, 2011 44   @ Seton Hall L 48-67 43%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -6.8 -11.5 +2.4
  Jan 04, 2012 117   @ Rutgers W 85-64 63%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +27.9 +16.2 +11.3
  Jan 07, 2012 17   Georgetown W 74-62 51%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +22.2 +7.6 +14.5
  Jan 09, 2012 36   @ Connecticut L 57-64 37%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +6.8 -1.5 +7.3
  Jan 14, 2012 117   Rutgers W 84-60 83%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +24.1 +4.8 +16.8
  Jan 18, 2012 76   Marshall W 78-62 64%     14 - 5 +22.7 +13.2 +10.7
  Jan 21, 2012 33   Cincinnati W 77-74 OT 62%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +10.3 +4.9 +5.2
  Jan 25, 2012 146   @ St. John's L 62-78 70%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -11.1 -10.1 -0.6
  Jan 28, 2012 7   @ Syracuse L 61-63 17%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +18.6 +8.7 +9.6
  Jan 30, 2012 68   Pittsburgh L 66-72 74%     15 - 8 5 - 5 -2.3 +0.7 -3.8
  Feb 05, 2012 121   @ Providence W 87-84 OT 64%     16 - 8 6 - 5 +9.6 +15.0 -5.4
  Feb 08, 2012 40   Notre Dame L 51-55 65%     16 - 9 6 - 6 +2.5 -1.3 +2.5
  Feb 11, 2012 19   Louisville L 74-77 53%     16 - 10 6 - 7 +6.7 +15.9 -9.4
  Feb 16, 2012 68   @ Pittsburgh W 66-48 49%     17 - 10 7 - 7 +28.5 +5.1 +26.1
  Feb 22, 2012 40   @ Notre Dame L 44-71 39%     17 - 11 7 - 8 -13.7 -10.2 -11.0
  Feb 24, 2012 18   Marquette L 60-61 51%     17 - 12 7 - 9 +9.2 -5.6 +14.7
  Feb 28, 2012 156   DePaul W 92-75 88%     18 - 12 8 - 9 +14.6 +6.8 +6.3
  Mar 03, 2012 55   @ South Florida W 50-44 46%     19 - 12 9 - 9 +17.5 -1.5 +20.4
  Mar 07, 2012 36   Connecticut L 67-71 OT 50%     19 - 13 +6.4 +0.5 +5.8
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 88.0% 88.0% 10.1 0.0 3.0 15.4 41.6 25.7 2.4 0.0 12.0 88.0%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 88.0% 0.0% 88.0% 10.1 0.0 3.0 15.4 41.6 25.7 2.4 0.0 12.0 88.0%